The situation between Burundi and Rwanda is becoming increasingly tense, with both countries accusing each other of destabilizing the region. Burundi’s president, Évariste Ndayishimiye, has expressed concerns over Rwanda’s alleged plans to attack Burundi, citing what he calls “credible intelligence.” He also alluded to Rwanda’s involvement in past events, particularly the 2015 coup attempt in Burundi, which he claims was orchestrated by Rwanda. Ndayishimiye has raised the possibility that Rwanda is backing rebel groups, such as the Red Tabara, to destabilize Burundi.
On the other hand, Rwanda has dismissed these claims as “surprising” and denied involvement in supporting rebel groups like the M23 in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Rwanda has insisted that both nations have cooperated on security matters, despite the ongoing closure of their shared border.
The tension between Burundi and Rwanda is set against the backdrop of the broader instability in the DRC, where rebel groups and external forces, including Rwanda, have played a significant role in escalating violence. Ndayishimiye has expressed concerns about the exploitation of the DRC’s mineral resources, which he believes is a driving factor behind the conflict. He has called for a broader, inclusive peace dialogue involving all stakeholders, including armed groups, to resolve the crisis.
Ndayishimiye’s comments also suggest that Burundi would prefer peaceful negotiations with Rwanda rather than war, but he has warned that Burundi will defend itself if attacked. His government has rejected the notion that the border with the DRC is closed, despite reports of refugees crossing the Rusizi River into Burundi in dangerous conditions.
The crisis in the DRC, involving various rebel groups and foreign interventions, remains deeply complex. Ndayishimiye advocates for a more robust international mandate to engage with the rebels in the DRC, while also stressing that Burundi’s involvement in the DRC will continue as long as the country’s security is at risk.
In sum, the political dynamics between Burundi, Rwanda, and the DRC are fraught with accusations, historical grievances, and competition for resources. The situation is further complicated by the ongoing displacement of Congolese refugees, who find themselves in a precarious position as they attempt to flee the violence.