It’s fascinating how the chances of asteroid impacts are constantly reassessed with new data and calculations! The asteroid 2024 YR4, despite initially posing a significant risk, now seems to be less of a threat. It’s interesting how science continually refines its predictions based on updated observations and technology, like the James Webb Space Telescope potentially taking a closer look next month.
The drop from 3.1% to 1.5% in just a short period is a great example of how quickly these uncertainties can be adjusted. Still, with the 0.8% chance of it hitting the Moon, it’s a reminder that even if Earth is mostly safe, there are other variables at play!
What are your thoughts on these predictions? Do you think such asteroid risks will ever be eliminated entirely through better forecasting or even planetary defense?
